海外研报

Obvious trend damage but breadth improves

• Background macro factors like disposable personal income growth

Weekly Warm-up: Defensive Leadership Fully Emerges as Growth Concerns Increase

Macro Risks Rise... While the macro data suggest the consumer is slowing but ok, the jobs data on Friday challenged the soft-landing view for some

Trading Catalysts It’s the Fed now

Equities: Is the Fed put alive? The July jobs report came in below our goldilocks range for equities (+150K, +/- and financial markets indicate that the risk is no longer balanced between growth and

CARRY TRADE HARD LANDING?

Japan’s balance sheet is hugely distorted by the years of excess accommodation. It was always a toss-up as to which fragility was going to break first – maturity or currency mismatch. In the end,

BOJ, FED, FUEL SURGE IN EM FX VOLATILITY

Fed and BoJ meetings have further raised EM FX volatility. Last week’s FOMC meeting was widely interpreted as confirming the market expectation that the funds rate will be cut in

Asia-Pacific Growth Monitor: EM Asia growth holding up, but factory surveys slow

This publication summarizes regional and country-specific growth data acrossthe Asia-Pacific economies we cover. In most cases, the latest data points are

Global: GS Economic Indicators Update: Financial Conditions Tighten Sharply in Japan

Please find an update of our proprietary global economic indicators below. The databehind these exhibits can be downloaded here. Interactive charts can be found on

Correction dissection - US growth concerns and carry trade unwinds drive sharp

Following the large equity drawdowns and sharp ‘risk off’ shifts across assetsglobally in the past few days, we publish a short cross-asset update. We

Cross Asset StrategyWhere is the bottom?

Have we seen the worst of it? We rewiew the history of bottaming signals,which suggest there is rnore pain to come.