海外研报

US Elections & the MexicoChina Bridge vs. Buffer Debate

Chinese investment is a risk to Mexico's nearshoring narrative, not a means to achieve it. Mexico is acting as a China Buffer fending off Asian imports

WAGES, DOLLARS AND CRYPTOS

As my colleague, Dario Perkins, points out, the UK is the crowned king of devaluations. As a result, we will be taking a look back at the history of these devaluations over the next few months –

weighed down by continued weakness in North Asian markets & Global Cyclicals

MXAPJ lost 0.8%, dragged down by Philippines, Taiwan andKorea (-2% each), while Thailand, Australia, and Indonesia

Change in Fed call: Three 25bp cuts this year

With this morning's weaker-than-expected labor market report,we now expect the FOMC to cut rates by 25bp three times this

Quicker labour market cooling could mean more aggressive Fed

A much quieter calendar lies ahead for the coming week, highlighted by ISM services and the Fed’s senior loan officer opinion survey (SLOOS).

Rate Cuts and Recession Risk After the July Employment Report

The July employment report was weak across the board, with soft gains in bothpayroll and household employment and another 0.2pp increase in the