海外研报

Interest Rates Daily

Summer season means more time to dig into our methodology and hone our tools. With 2026 now on the monetary policy horizon (around 18 months from now), we

Argentina: Trade Surplus in June Supported by Weak Imports and a Stronger Harvest (Armella)

Bottom Line: The trade balance recorded a US$1.9bn surplus in June, up from theUS$1.8bn deficit recorded a year ago but weaker than the US$2.6bn surplus in the

Boeing Co. (BA): Monthly aircraft delivery tracker: July mid-point check-in

Our aircraft delivery tracker, based on Planespotters data, shows Boeing hasdelivered 23 aircraft in July through 7/21, including 17 737 MAX, 3 787, 1 777, and 2other.

Further S&P 500 downside could trigger accelerated unwinds from CTAs

CTAs could be unwinding S&P 500 and NASDAQ-100 longsOur CTA model showed trend follower longs in the NASDAQ-100 and S&P 500 at

US Semiconductors

CITI'S TAKEWe spent the last week meeting investors in New York/Connecticut. Interms ofinvestor sentiment -while NVDA remains the stock with the mostpositive sentiment, we believe AVGO is catchingup to NVDA. Investors werealso positive on NXPl and

US small cap rotation triggered by macro, boosted by positioning

Russell 2000 has recently recorded the largest two-weekrally against Nasdaq 100 since 2002 (Exhibit 1). The rotation

Europe Mon Research Other

The ECB delivered an uneventful meeting with the message of 'data dependenoe' front and canter, although a later headline of'ECB oficlals consider if only one more cut ls feasible in 2024 was a litle confusing. Biden finaly announced he was

Data Preview: Mixed Picture in June,

Data preview: mixed picture again in June, slower Q2 GDP growth momentumFor the upcoming June data release, we expect smaller y/y decline in property sales on alow base,

Taking shelter from inflation

Weekly Viewpoint: Taking shelter from inflationA downside surprise to June CPI inflation, driven by softer shelter, should increase the Fed’s confidence that inflation is converging to target. That said, rate cuts are not just

Powell Deftly Opens the Door for Rate Cuts, but Doesn't Appear Ready to Step Through It

Fed Chair Powell made a subtle shift in his stance on monetary policy today, speaking before the Economic Club ofWashington DC. He made it abundantly clear that he did not want to send a signal about any particular meeting coming