海外研报

US small cap rotation triggered by macro, boosted by positioning

Russell 2000 has recently recorded the largest two-weekrally against Nasdaq 100 since 2002 (Exhibit 1). The rotation

Europe Mon Research Other

The ECB delivered an uneventful meeting with the message of 'data dependenoe' front and canter, although a later headline of'ECB oficlals consider if only one more cut ls feasible in 2024 was a litle confusing. Biden finaly announced he was

Data Preview: Mixed Picture in June,

Data preview: mixed picture again in June, slower Q2 GDP growth momentumFor the upcoming June data release, we expect smaller y/y decline in property sales on alow base,

Taking shelter from inflation

Weekly Viewpoint: Taking shelter from inflationA downside surprise to June CPI inflation, driven by softer shelter, should increase the Fed’s confidence that inflation is converging to target. That said, rate cuts are not just

Powell Deftly Opens the Door for Rate Cuts, but Doesn't Appear Ready to Step Through It

Fed Chair Powell made a subtle shift in his stance on monetary policy today, speaking before the Economic Club ofWashington DC. He made it abundantly clear that he did not want to send a signal about any particular meeting coming

Click “here” to listen to the Europe Morning Call.

Transport Chartbook – thoughts on shipping S/D – Global trade growth remainedstrong in 2Q with air freight up +10% yoy and container +6%. This is driven by a

Week 1: 3% beat in early days

Big Banks delivered on 1Q results, all beating on EPS but not enough to lift stocks higher. Net interest income was guided flat to down, but trading and investment banking

Global Fixed Income Technical Update

The 5s/30s curve extends the breakout steepening to the 29.5bp Jan 78.6% retrace and 30bp Apr-Jun range measured move objective. Multi-year base

Americas Transportation: Eye on Freight: Intermodal Recovery Potential v.3

Bottom line: Post the disappointing JBHT earnings release, we thought it couldbe instructive to take a look at several factors that may be in various stages of

Argentina: Impressive disinflation, with side-effects

Argentina: Impressive disinflation with side-effectsArgentina inflation is dropping much faster than expected, from 25% in December (13%