海外研报
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Global Data Watch: Asia China: Two policy meetings in July
The swing of cyclical policy reactions aftects business cycle fluctuations. A shiftto an accommodative policy stance in 2l23 led to activity recovery in 2H23 and1024, but the fading
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Assessing France’s Indecisive Election
Everything must change, so that everything can stay the same. Anatole used this aphorism from the great novel of Italian reunification, The Leopard, to
海外研报
2024年07月09日
Another month of soft retail spending
Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and debit cards, was down 0.5% year-over-year (y/y) in June. Card spending per HH was
海外研报
2024年07月12日
The economic consequences of a second Trump presidency for emerging markets
Macro focus: With market-implied probabilities of a second Trump term rising, we take a first look at the potential reverberations for EMs. We view tariff policy as
海外研报
2024年07月18日
Where are the conveXintlection/pain points in global markets?
Option delta hedging: a price movement amplifierDerivative trading can (significantly) impact asset prices via feedback effects of deltahedging strategies followed by option
海外研报
2024年07月05日
Quarterly FX revisions
We have undertaken our quarterly FX revisions using the Bloomberg forwardcurve for the new quarter. Forecasts for F Y24 were left largely unchanged, exceptfor CSL where we
海外研报
2024年07月05日
