海外研报

Prime Insights & Analytics Prime Services Weekly Report July 5, 2024 Friday 6/28 – Thursday 7/4

The GS Equity Fundamental L/S Performance Estimate2 rose +0.35% between 6/28 and 7/4 (vs MSCI World TR +1.37%), driven by beta of +0.67%

JUNE 2024 PRELIMINARY HEDGE FUND PERFORMANCE UPDATE

▪ Hedge funds were up on average 0.46% in June underperforming the MSCI World which was up 2.07%.▪ YTD hedge funds are up 5.81%, underperforming MSCI world which is up 12.04%.

Global Asset Allocation Views

The data reaffirm our base case view of moderating growth and cooling inflation.• This environment supports a risk-on tilt in portfolios, with overweights to equity and credit.

China: Uncertain economic environment overshadows the party plenum

China’s GDP growth slowed down to 4.7% in Q2. Growth relies much onfixed asset investment in manufacturing and infrastructure while consumerconfidence remains low and the downturn in the housing market continues.

USA: UMichigan Sentiment and Inflation Expectations Edge Down in Preliminary July Report

BOTTOM LINE: The University of Michigan’s index of consumer sentiment declinedin the July preliminary report, below consensus expectations for a slight increase.

Framing The Upside Path to 2025 Operating Income

In this report, we preview AMZN’s upcoming Q2’24 operatingresults and increase our above-Street 2025 GAAP Operating Income

Strengthening its Position as Industry Leader

TSM is the world’s leading semiconductor foundry company. The company provides wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production and design services.

Global Strategy Weekly-Are we on the brink of another Nasdaq crash?

The June US CPI data surprised investors not just because of the benign data but also because of the unusually extreme reaction it triggered within the equity market. To

with Defensives outperforming Info Tech & Internet sectors

MXAPJ declined 3.1%, dragged by Taiwan, China offshore(-5% each) and Hong Kong (-3%), while Philippines (+3%),

Australian Macro Weekly

We noted last week that the ‘soft’ data in Australia – indicators like business conditions and consumer confidence – remained soft. The most recent update