海外研报

September 2024 update: Refreshing Japan & China Ideas

As we come out of results season and this summer’s volatility, we take theopportunity to refresh ideas in Japan & China. We add SMFG, TDK, Advantest,

Americas Transportation: Railroads: Weekly Rail Carload Snapshot — Week 35

Total traffic results for US Class I rails under coverage imply carload growth nat +8.4% YoY in week 35, a slight deceleration versus +9.4% YoY in week 34.

Catalyst or Culprit?

We present a comprehensive, collaborative, in-depth and multi-faceted analysis of a very complicated and controversial but potentially

2024 Global Retail Conference

Health of the consumer and outlook for growth We expect messaging from the companies attending to be cautious on the health of the consumer, especially the lowest end.

Expect sequential improvement as resilient disposable income is aided by waning

On September 4th and 5th we will host ~80 consumer companies at our 31st annualGlobal Retailing Conference, where we expect to hear updates on the US consumer

August debt issuance volume growth decelerated as leveraged loan refinancing activity moderated

Debt issuance volume growth decelerated sharply in August as corporate leveragedloan refinancing activity moderated. Global debt issuance increased just 5% y/y in

Acronyms, acrimony, and anagrams--Global Daily

Germany reeled from the far-right AfD and far-left BSW taking 42-49% of the vote in two eastern states. It could even have been worse: only a late “computer glitch” removed a seat the

ECB HAWKS TRYING TO MANAGE CUT EXPECTATIONS

Headline HICP at 2.2%, softer wages, worsening EA growth and stalling new hiring finally overshadow concerns about service inflation – a September cut is coming

VOLATILE MARKETS FAVOUR EM CREDIT

EM equity investors will remain cautious about re-entering the market. EM equity indices have fully made up the ground lost in the global market rout at the start of last month, but many

A more dovish ECB on inflation?

Last time, in June, the ECB surprised markets with significant upward revisions onthe inflation path while cutting its rates. This time, we expect the second rate cut