海外研报

Ferrous Tracker: Drop in Steel Output Hits Iron Ore Consumption

The Platts 62%Fe iron ore index (CFR China) returned to $99.3/t yesterday (8thAugust), down 4% from last Friday.

Global FX Trader Too Much Shade on the Carry Trade

n JPY: Carry not so scary. Since the sharp sell-off in USD/JPY that started onFriday and accelerated through Monday alongside broader market volatility, the

It's positioning, stupid!

US jobless claims were down by 17,000 to 233,000 in the week that ended 3 August. The drop was

GS TWIG Notes: This Week in Global Research - August 9, 2024

Labor data, recession risk, the Fed, and the path aheadn In the US, David Mericle raised our 12-month recession odds to 25% (from 10%)

Reflecting On 2Q24 Earnings Amid An Uncertain Macro... Investor sentiment; market color

Correlations and volatility spiked during a dizzying week of sentiment whippingaround on recession risks (still low and still-data dependent, as per the latest from

Market Intelligence: US Morning Update

Stocks in Asia closed higher Friday, ending a relatively volatile week on a calm note.South Korea and Taiwan outperformed, with tech stocks advancing on the back of

Mexico: Firm Industrial Production in June Driven by Construction and Utilities; Weak Manufacturing

Bottom Line: Industrial production expanded 0.4% mom sa in June, slightly aboveconsensus for a milder expansion. The IP increase in June was solely driven by

THE EUROZONE ECONOMIC MONITOR

Swiss industry likely had another tough quarter in Q2 and services turnover data to May disappoint.

Russia: Inflation rises to 9.1% due to utility increases as expected

Bottom Line: Rosstat published its estimate for July inflation and in line withconsensus and our estimates it was reported at 9.1% yoy. While this was a sharp

Brazil: Consumers help lift 2024 growth estimate, but 2025 outlook has weakened

Recent industrial production and retail sales data point to strong consumptionfueled growth in 2Q24, with a carryover effect leading us to upgrade our 3Q24