海外研报

Five ways to assess the stability of a bank

Past financial crises have highlighted the need for investorsand clients to understand a bank’s business model that goes

Despite Some Near Term Noise, the Long Term Signal for Azure & AI Is Clear

As a reminder, our FQ4 (Jun) Microsoft partner survey work (link here) softened across most metrics, which we interpreted to mean that this quarter would have less

Significant CapEx ramp supported by strong early demand signals – F4Q24 Results

We reiterate our Buy rating and $515 PT following Microsoft’sF4Q24 results. The stock reversed some of its negative after-hours

US Macro Strategy: July FOMC Preview Rate cuts priced-in, now what?

Evolving rate cut expectations: At the start of the year, there were a slew of cuts expected. However, a combination of higher Q1 inflation and hawkish Fedspeak pushed pricing to less than 2 cuts for all of

USD and the Fed: how soon is now?

Asia overnightDespite a weak lead from US technology stocks, investor sentiment remained firm in Asia. China’s soft PMI data is encouraging investors to think more help for the

BANK OF ENGLAND TAKES A SMALL LEAP OF FAITH

The MPC has delivered a 25bp reduction that takes Bank Rate to 5% in what is essentially an “insurance” cut.As mentioned in the minutes, “it is now appropriate to reduce slightly the degree of policy restrictiveness" while

EURO CRISIS 2.0 – THE “CRISIS” AT THE CORE

There is talk of a new euro crisis, this time centred on core EMU countries like Germany and France. This fear is unwarranted. While low interest rates stimulated the EMU core during the

Global Macro Thoughts “Normal service will now resume”

Where noted in the source notes, the views expressed within this report are taken from previously published research. For further detail, including important