海外研报        
            
        
    
        
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        What’s Top of Mind in Macro Research: Trump’s rising presidential odds, Fed cuts may soon begin,
                    US election: Trump’s rising oddsThe likelihood of a Trump presidency has risen further in betting markets sinceSaturday’s shocking assassination attempt, and we maintain that such an election                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月20日
                
            US Weekly Kickstart
                    Prediction market odds have shifted sharply in favor of a Trump re-election this November and now stand at roughly 60% compared with 40%-50%                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月15日
                
            Breaking the Rules
                    It’s a general rule that you should avoid saying “This time is different.” So far, though, I have broken that rule in this cycle, because so much of what we are seeing                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月16日
                
            DB CoTD: The 2% club has increased
                    ** The 2024 II Fixed Income Analyst survey is now open. If you’ve appreciated our work over the last year, it would mean a lot to us if you’d be able to vote. I have a pdf                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月17日
                
            TOP OF THE AGENDA
                    SPX +1.1%, NDX +1.5%,RTY +1.7%.WTl-31bps at $78.40, NatGas +578bps to $2.25, UKNatGas -155bps to£0.7797,Gold -18bps to $2,397,Silver -34bps to $29.13, 10Y @ 4.253%, andVIX @ 14.91.                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月23日
                
            Regional Market Focus ETF in Focus
                    The ageing global population and rising life expectancy are driving an increase in healthcare spending. Healthcare accounts for over 10% weightage in major global indices                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月10日
                
            GS Equity Radar
                    European markets traded some relief post the second round of French elections (seeAlex Stott’s post-election Q&A), with V2X c.8% lower vs. last Friday (at time ofwriting). In the US                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月15日
                
            European Contextual Diary The Week Ahead
                    Danske Bank (Buy, PT DKr244) to report Q2 2024 Results on 19 JulFollowing the recent positive profit warn by Danske, we expect a small reversal in credit                 
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月15日
                
            Global equities lost 2.1%; Momentum sold-off
                    Implications of trade policy for global marketsPrediction markets are now assigning a high probability                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月23日
                
            Weaker Dollar with Softer US CPI
                    The Dollar weakened sharply, US yields came off, while JPY strengthened significantlyon the back of a softer than expected CPI print, together with suspected FX intervention                
                
                    海外研报
                    2024年07月15日
                
            
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    