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MACRO TRENDS CHARTBOOOK
With nominal growth in the major global economies not only slowing down to below 20y average (4.9% yoyin Q1-24 or -0.3z) but also with a more compressed distribution than in the pre-Covid period, monetary
海外研报
2024年07月15日
We Forecast Core PCE at 0.16% After PPI
We now forecast core PCE inflation for June at 0.16% vs. 0.08%M in May. Headline is forecasted at 0.07% vs. -0.01%M the month prior. We expect the Y/Y
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2024年07月16日
DeskTalk - Macro whispers of Trump 2.0 trades
US Treasuries are opening lower after a holiday in Tokyo. 2s10s curve is bull steepening though the move is likelyto be contained ahead of Fed Chair Powell's interview today. That said, our rates strategists think momentum, weak
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2024年07月16日
DB CoTD: The greatest rotation...
Yesterday was a fascinating day for US equities. 396 of the S&P 500 were up on the day, the equal weighted index rose +1.17%, and the Russell 2000 small cap index
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2024年07月17日
Deconstructing the recent rally – and what’s next
Greater confidence in rate cuts? Check. Now: EPS in focusFollowing last week’s inflation data, small caps saw the biggest four-day rally since
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2024年07月19日
Macro at a Glance: Latest views and forecasts
Globally, we expect real GDP growth of 2.7% yoy in 2024, reflecting tailwindsfrom real household income growth, a gradual recovery in manufacturing activity,
海外研报
2024年07月19日
Nomura Quant Insights
Risk of a downside attack on the Nikkei 225 by systematic investorsSemiconductor stocks worldwide took a beating yesterday. It looks as though worries over
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2024年07月19日
Key levels to watch: 4% rates & 50 on PMI
Economics: A goldilocks economyLast week, retail sales and industrial production surprised to the upside, dispelling fears
海外研报
2024年07月23日
Buy France
The sharp underperformance of the French stock market on its recent political events is irrational, given the CAC 40’s limited exposure to French domestic economics and politics.
海外研报
2024年07月11日
DB CoTD: It's patently obvious...
A reminder that we publish a weekly AI newsletter looking at all the rapidly evolving news flow in the field. This week’s edition is just out here and looks at how OpenAI
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2024年07月11日
