海外研报

Navigating a Noisy Election

Prepare for more noise than signal. Uncertainty is high for election results & the macro impacts of key policy choices. We see value in key equity sectors, a skew toward USD &

Still See a Soft Landing

We believe that fears of a hard landing remain overdone. Two weeks ago, Ellen wrote that we continue to see data consistent with a soft landing. This week’s data brought

2024 US Elections – An Early Guide

With Election Day 334 days away, it's likely much will change re: the drivers of the outcome & their market impact.

US Weekly Prospects

Fed on track for September easeAgainst this backdrop, the FOMC meets next week, Despite afew high-profile calls for the Fed to start cutting next week,that does not appear to be in the cards. Rather, we look foreasing

refer to the views and observations of the desk.

Positioning + Flows .. not much reprieve last week during what has been one of the more dynamic momentum / positioning drawdowns we’ve

GS Crypto: Distracted market reaction to US spot ETH ETFs trading debut

Bank of Japan (BOJ) intervention following a softer US CPI on 11th July, was the first time the government was selling into USD weakness (typically the BOJ have

A few keypieces from GS Sales, Trading, Strategy and Research. Full piece links below or attached.

Waiting to re-engage in USDJPY longs (Mike Cahill) - While we think USD/JPY can probably continue to move back to the 150 level and would

Global Rates Trader Growth Gains the Upper Hand

Recent moves in the front-end of G10 curves reflect a return to growth as the keyfocus for markets. The earlier part of the year was about inflation progress (or thelack thereof),

FX Model Trend & Strategy

This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the