海外研报

Global Macro Commentary

Global cyber outage creates broad-based disruption; USTscheapen absent major economic catalysts; CAD weakensintraday following soft retail sales; JGB curve twist flattens aftersoft CPl;

Weekly Wrap & Catalyst Calendar

Weekly Research Wrap• Alts: Learnings from Earnings: Read-Throughs from the Banks, 7/17/24. We track commentaryon M&A, IPOs and other capital markets activity, all of which are important for the alts. The

BIDEN RESIGNS AND HARRIS FEELS THE HEAT (OF HISTORY)

President Biden’s departure from the presidential race did not coronate his VP, Kamala Harris, as successorcandidate for president. If he had instead resigned from office, he would have cemented her candidacy and given

Equity Strategy

Q2 reporting season is heating up, Activity was broadly better for the quarter,sequentially, pointing to an improvement in earnings delivery - top chart. This,though, is to a good extent reflected in consensus estimates, where Q2 EPSprojections

USD: Trump vs Powell vs Trump

Investor sentiment was given a boost by FOMC Chair, Jerome Powell, expressingcautious confidence that US inflation has resumed a downward path, which led tosome pullback in UST yields. Curbing investor sentiment in Asia, however,

Commodity mid-year 2024 outlook

Global commodities: With global economic growth cooling (not collapsing), we believe the leg lower on commodities since mid-May is only temporary. To put this

DB CoTD: Into the top 10...

*** The 2024 II Fixed Income Analyst survey is now open. If you’ve appreciated our work over the last year, it would mean a lot to us if you’d be able to vote. I have a pdf

Global Fixed Income Markets Weekly

Overview: DM central banks showed further progress towards starting or continuing to reduce current monetary policy restriction this week given the

F3Q24 preview: Apple Intelligence and the iPhone replacement cycle

We expect AAPL to deliver an EPS beat in F3Q24E with $85.1 bnof revenue (+4% yoy) and EPS of $1.36 (v. FactSet consensus$1.33).

Half-time calm

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