海外研报

Elevating To Top Pick As Apple Intelligence Catalyzes Record Upgrade Cycle

Apple Intelligence is set to drive record device upgrades; our new forecast calls for 235m iPhone shipments in FY25 and 262m in FY26, 2-12% above Street.

Global Macro Watch Known Unknowns 21 – 26 July

Full focus on US 2Q GDP and PCEWe expect the advance estimate of 2Q GDP to come in at 2.3% qoq saar on the back of

10-year GBs above 1% is dampeningapanese demand for US Treasuries

Unless otherwise noted, information included herein is presented as of the dates indicated.Apollo GlobaManagement, inc. (together with its subsidiaries, "Apollo") makes no representation or warranty, expressed olimplied, with respect to the accuracy,

2024 Mid-Year Global Economic Outlook

H24 outcomes have aligned with our top-down views. Global growth hascooled to a still solid 2.4%ar and is less dependent on a US demand engineNotably, the Western Europe recovery

This week in Japan (8 July)

The key question is whether reports from regional BOJ branches offer evidence of avirtuous cycle of wages and prices (“second force” inflation), which the Bank hopes will

ROE outlook outperforms peers

commercial banking, financial transaction processing and asset management services c . The bank isone of the largest banks in the United States, with assets of over c.US$3.7 trillion, as it continues to

As they extend & pretend, we defend

The RIC OutlookUS households have a record $18.3tn in cash, +40% since ‘19. Cash is already a drag net of taxes, inflation, and Fed cuts. Where’s an asset allocator to go? We favor credit for the

2Q24 EPS Review: Banking on a Strong 4Q to Achieve 2024 Guidance

Executive SummaryBottom line: EPS was ahead of expectations owing to lower provision for credit losses (NPAs,NCOs little changed) and lower expenses (lower comp). Net interest income remains pressured