海外研报

DB CoTD: The 2% club has increased

** The 2024 II Fixed Income Analyst survey is now open. If you’ve appreciated our work over the last year, it would mean a lot to us if you’d be able to vote. I have a pdf

TOP OF THE AGENDA

SPX +1.1%, NDX +1.5%,RTY +1.7%.WTl-31bps at $78.40, NatGas +578bps to $2.25, UKNatGas -155bps to£0.7797,Gold -18bps to $2,397,Silver -34bps to $29.13, 10Y @ 4.253%, andVIX @ 14.91.

Regional Market Focus ETF in Focus

The ageing global population and rising life expectancy are driving an increase in healthcare spending. Healthcare accounts for over 10% weightage in major global indices

GS Equity Radar

European markets traded some relief post the second round of French elections (seeAlex Stott’s post-election Q&A), with V2X c.8% lower vs. last Friday (at time ofwriting). In the US

European Contextual Diary The Week Ahead

Danske Bank (Buy, PT DKr244) to report Q2 2024 Results on 19 JulFollowing the recent positive profit warn by Danske, we expect a small reversal in credit

Global equities lost 2.1%; Momentum sold-off

Implications of trade policy for global marketsPrediction markets are now assigning a high probability

Weaker Dollar with Softer US CPI

The Dollar weakened sharply, US yields came off, while JPY strengthened significantlyon the back of a softer than expected CPI print, together with suspected FX intervention

Forecast update: Softer macro data call for caution

Growth in the US has moderated further in recent weeks. After a 1.4% annualised rate in Q1, the Atlanta Fed GDP tracker indicates the economy expanded by an annualised 1.5%

Mizuho China Weekly Outlook

China’s Q2 GDP growth disappointed, rising 4.7% YoY, compared to market expectations of 5.0% and Q1’s 5.3%. This slowdown was primarily driven by final consumption, which contributed 3.0ppt to headline

Trump shooting, China Q2 GDP to sway market mood

Market HighlightsThe US dollar fell 1.7% this month, respecting seasonality pattern, which has been reinforced by more dovish market expectations for Fed rate cuts. Markets are now