海外研报

Charts That Caught My Eye

A guiding principle at Morgan Stanley Research is to enhance your investment process by delivering unique insights that

Exposure to Big Tech impacted 1H results

Our US Regime Indicator (based on a three month moving average of the underlying raw indicator) continued to improve in June, but the underlying raw time series declined for a

Global Fixed Income Markets Weekly

• Summary performance statistics for trades closed in 2022-2024• Covering Europe, UK, Scandinavia, Japan and Australia/New Zealand trades

China: Not Quite the QE You Expect

The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) has been trying to cap a record-breaking rally in the bond market. Unfavourable rate differentials add to yuan

What’s Top of Mind in Macro Research: Trump’s rising presidential odds, Fed cuts may soon begin,

US election: Trump’s rising oddsThe likelihood of a Trump presidency has risen further in betting markets sinceSaturday’s shocking assassination attempt, and we maintain that such an election

US Weekly Kickstart

Prediction market odds have shifted sharply in favor of a Trump re-election this November and now stand at roughly 60% compared with 40%-50%

Breaking the Rules

It’s a general rule that you should avoid saying “This time is different.” So far, though, I have broken that rule in this cycle, because so much of what we are seeing