海外研报

Benefit of Lower Rates Offset Holiday Slowdown over the 4th of July

How it Works: In developing the scale, we went back over 50 years of data todetermine averages, outliers, and differing operating environments. As such, a

IS TRUMP UNSTOPPABLE?

With markets pricing in surging odds of a Trump win (~67%) and a rising Republican sweep of Congress, a top investor question today is: What, if anything, could thwart a red wave ahead?

Weekly Teller: Initial 2Q takeaways

Initial 2Q reports: Mixed but fine for creditNotwithstanding top and bottom line beats (vs. consensus est.) by each of the fourbanks reporting on Friday, equity reactions were generally weaker on concerns about net

China: FX outflows accelerated in June

Our preferred FX flow measure shows larger FX outflows of US$69bn in June 2024,vs. US$32bn outflows in May. The current account channel showed faster outflows

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities closed lower (SXXP -0.5%, $X5E -1.2%, V2X +0.7pts) with AEX(-1.8%) and UKX (0.3%) the best and worst regions. Tech (-4.5%, -3.6z) fell mostly because ofSemis

Won’t be as easy next time

In a rare display of steadiness, yesterday’s packed calendar went mostly according to expectation, which is a welcome change after the past six weeks. The ECB left

SAUDI KEY TO TRUMP OIL TRADE

Talk of ‘Trump trades’ has become more fashionable than ever since last weekend’s failed assassination attempt on the Republican nominee – but most such talk is inconclusive. The

Weekly Equity Market Commentary & Conviction Calls

With 2Q earnings season in full swing, the recent rally seen in USequities cooled slightly this week. As evidenced by the

US Week Ahead: July 1 – July 7

The key economic data releases this week are the ISM manufacturing index onMonday, the JOLTS job openings report on Tuesday, and the employment report onFriday. The minutes from the June FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday.

Outlook for public and private markets

Unless otherwise noted, information included herein is presented as of the dates indicated. Apollo GlobalManagement, Inc. (together with its subsidiaries, “Apollo”) makes no representation or warranty, expressed or