海外研报

European Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

China Online Travel Sector

China online travel sector to grow 15-18% in the next 2 years, driven by sharp outbound growth amidst slower domestic growth

Gold’s unwavering bull market

Global commodities: Gold is breaking out to new all-time highs and continues to surprise even our above-consensus forecasts, both in its upward intensity as well

Portfolio Hedging Toolkit (Jul-2024) Buy Semis ETF (SMH) puts

Semis stocks have rallied significantly since the start of 2023 (SMH +154%),mainly driven by AI-related optimism. Our semis analyst Toshiya Hari believes

Path to goldilocks: Own cyclicals

Economics: Inflation box ticked, focus shifts to growthLast week, inflation ticked another box for the Fed. Headline inflation missed by 4.2

US Economics  |  US Economic Data

Headline retail sales were unchanged in June, but the control group rose +0.9%. This is the biggest m/m increase inthe control group since April 2023. Both numbers were stronger than the respective consensus forecasts of -0.3% and+0.2%.

Benefit of Lower Rates Offset Holiday Slowdown over the 4th of July

How it Works: In developing the scale, we went back over 50 years of data todetermine averages, outliers, and differing operating environments. As such, a

IS TRUMP UNSTOPPABLE?

With markets pricing in surging odds of a Trump win (~67%) and a rising Republican sweep of Congress, a top investor question today is: What, if anything, could thwart a red wave ahead?

Weekly Teller: Initial 2Q takeaways

Initial 2Q reports: Mixed but fine for creditNotwithstanding top and bottom line beats (vs. consensus est.) by each of the fourbanks reporting on Friday, equity reactions were generally weaker on concerns about net

China: FX outflows accelerated in June

Our preferred FX flow measure shows larger FX outflows of US$69bn in June 2024,vs. US$32bn outflows in May. The current account channel showed faster outflows