海外研报

Global Macro Watch Known Unknowns 21 – 26 July

Full focus on US 2Q GDP and PCEWe expect the advance estimate of 2Q GDP to come in at 2.3% qoq saar on the back of a strong consumer, with risks to the downside. Meanwhile, personal income and

June JSDA Trading Volume of Over-the-Counter Bonds

CLEAR SIGNS OF BEARISHNESS ON SUPER-LONG JGBSJSDA Trading Volume of Over-the-Counter Bonds data for June were indicative of most

Europe Mon Research Other

The ECB delivered an uneventful meeting with the message of 'data dependenoe' front and canter, although a later headline of'ECB oficlals consider if only one more cut ls feasible in 2024 was a litle confusing. Biden finaly announced he was

US Equity Strategy Productivity: A Key Component to Earnings Resiliency

CITI'S TAKEThere are many forces at work in the US equity markets as we head into thebulk of the Q2 earnings season. Discerning macro from micro influenceswould seem to be a defining discussion point for the summer. All told, ourusual “sanity check"

Authorities Reach Agreement on External Debt Restructuring with Bondholders

Bottom line: Ukraine reached agreement with an ad hoc creditor committeerepresenting holdings of around 25% of Ukrainian bondholders on restructuring

China: Fiscal weakness lingered in June; expecting government bond issuance to pick up in Q3

Bottom line:China’s on-budget fiscal revenue growth remained subdued in June, weighed onagain by falling tax revenue growth (especially VAT and corporate income tax),

Boeing Co. (BA): Monthly aircraft delivery tracker: July mid-point check-in

Our aircraft delivery tracker, based on Planespotters data, shows Boeing hasdelivered 23 aircraft in July through 7/21, including 17 737 MAX, 3 787, 1 777, and 2other.

Mexico: Firm Broad-Based May Sequential Real Activity Expansion (Ramos)

Bottom Line: Real activity recorded a 0.75% mom sa variation in May, firmer thanexpectations for a milder 0.55% mom sa increase and more than offsetting the April

New Monetary Framework: more hawkish than you think

The ECB’s new monetary framework is set to take effect on18 September, and yet nothing will really change. The only effective