海外研报

Treasury Curve: Own 2 -Year/10-Year Curve Steepeners

According to BCA Research's US Bond Strategy service, Friday's employment report caused financiamarkets to price-in some .

Resist The Urge To Buy The Dip

The risk-off mood that dominated markets on Thursday, Friday and the early stages of Monday's trading amiddismal payrolls, tech earnings and manufacturing PMls seems to have dissipated for the time being. Thepositive signal from July's iSM services

Month-In-Review: Where Next For BondYields And The Dollar?

The dollar is a buy over the nextsix to 12 months, but a sell over athree-year horizon.The yen has all the catalystsrequired to rally.

ISM Services PMl At Odds With ManufacturingCounterpart

The lSM services PMl surprised positively in july. The headline index expanded 2.6 ppts to 51.4, reversingMay's fastest pace of contraction in four years.

Is Gold A Good Place To Hide?

Despite the recent market rout, gold's performance has maintained its leadership position. Global equities arup 7.5% in 2024YTD, global bonds are up 2.6% over the same period while gold prices have rallied by a soli17%. Given our high conviction

How Deep Will The Recession Be?

According to BCA Research's Global investment Strategy service, the next US recession will not beparticularly deep. However, our colleagues do not buy that structural imbalances are so slight that the USeconomy will avert a downturn

MXAPJ closed the week flat, led by rebounds in the Greater China markets

MXAPJ closed flat, with Hong Kong & China Offshore (+2%)leading Korea (-4%), Singapore (-3%), and Australia (-2%).

MONETARY POLICY MATTERS, BUT GROWTH MATTERS MORE

Macro Drivers: Despite the soft payroll numbers, a US recession remains unlikely ◼ Multi Asset: Fed cuts are only good for risk assets when a recession does not follow

US Weekly Kickstart

The S&P 500 ended flat this week after partially recovering from the steep sell-off that started last Thursday and intensified on Monday. Weak

UK Weekly Kickstart Summer data-only update

General disclosuresThis research is for our clients only. Other than disclosures relating to Goldman Sachs, this research is based on current public