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Europe Weekly Kickstart Deep summertime blues

Global equities stand 6% below their mid-July peak.Most equity markets saw a correction, triggered by weaker
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All EM Asian markets saw foreign selling this week, led by A-shares and

EM Asian region saw selling (-US$6.5bn) across marketsthis week, led by A-shares (-US$2.1bn) and Taiwan
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EM FX portfolio update: exiting COP and PHP underweights

We have exited our COP positions and PHP underweight positions (at USD/COP reference spot of 4047.55 and USD/PHP 57.29 respectively),
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Next week...this week

The JulyCPl reportin theUSdueWednesdaywillbe amongthekeyreleasesfornextweek ahead of the Fed's Jackson Hole symposium on August 22-24. Our USeconomistsexpectboth headlineandcore torise +0.20%MoMvs-0.1%and +0.1%MoM pace
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Abrupt Cut To Underweight

Aggregateequitypositioningplungedthis week, falling from a mid-Julypeakat the top ofthe historical range (z score 1.00, 97th percentile) to belowaverage orunderweight (z score -0,26, 31st percentile). This marked one ofthe steepest declines in recent
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Data offers a bit of comfort, but sentiment still fragile

CPI inflation has improved in recent months following the hotter-thanexpected data in Q124, and we expect that trend to continue with another
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Cross-Asset Weekly

The financial market turbulences this week have highlighted that (1) macro risks are shifting from inflation to growth, (2) carry trades are vulnerable to sharp reversals in late cycle ear.
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Any more systematic pressure in USDJPY and US equities?

Benchmark CTA down big this past MondayWhile declining steadily in each of the last four weeks, this past Monday the SG CTA benchmark index posted its largest daily drop since Mar-23. This on the same day
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Global Macro Watch Known Unknowns 11 – 16 August

July US CPI should be good enough for a September cutWe forecast headline CPI rose by 0.3% mom in July, owing mainly to a pickup in core
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European equities: Q2 2024 earnings season recap

Cautious guidance: Current market volatility is due to a combination of factors in a poorliquidity month and cautious corporate guidance. We continue to recommend a defensivestance and buying into high-quality companies that have derated.
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