海外研报

Weekend Cross-Asset Dislocations (20-Jul-2024)

remains lower than we would expect in the context of the economic environmentand options prices show that investors are not overly concerned about a

2Q24 EPS Review: Banking on a Strong 4Q to Achieve 2024 Guidance

Executive SummaryBottom line: EPS was ahead of expectations owing to lower provision for credit losses (NPAs,NCOs little changed) and lower expenses (lower comp). Net interest income remains pressured

Strong Quarter Highlights Future Growth Trajectory

Summary: While 2Q op EPS of $1.69 missed the Street's $1.71 estimate and our $1.76, PPNRbeat on accelerating growth, with all of the miss from higher provision due to outsized loan

Friday Finish – US Economics

Look through the jump in jobless claims as the fallout from Hurricane Beryl and annual auto retooling.

dragged down by global cyclicals and financials amid significant foreign outflows

Performance: MSCI/All Taiwan -5.3%/-4.2% this week,underperforming MXAPJ by -2.4% (in US$), dragged by

US Weekly Prospects

The soft landing story has been gaining inereasing credibilityin recent weeks. lfanything, some of the growth data hadbcen suggesting activity was slowing more than would bedesirable.

Global Macro Commentary

Global cyber outage creates broad-based disruption; USTscheapen absent major economic catalysts; CAD weakensintraday following soft retail sales; JGB curve twist flattens aftersoft CPl;

SAUDI KEY TO TRUMP OIL TRADE

Talk of ‘Trump trades’ has become more fashionable than ever since last weekend’s failed assassination attempt on the Republican nominee – but most such talk is inconclusive. The

Mid-July JD Power US pricing data indicates industry ATPs at $43.9k, -2.0% m/m and -3.3% y/y

Analyst(s) Certification(s):I, Dan Levy, hereby certify (1) that the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about any or all of the subject

Shifting narrative and market implications

We hosted the fifh installment ofthe Strategic Research 2024 US Election Watchseries on July 17, featuring IP, Morgan researchers who discussed the keytakeaways, firom meetings duringour recent trip to Washington, D,C, The meetingsin