海外研报

US Week Ahead: July 1 – July 7

The key economic data releases this week are the ISM manufacturing index onMonday, the JOLTS job openings report on Tuesday, and the employment report onFriday. The minutes from the June FOMC meeting will be released on Wednesday.

US Macro Weekly--Jobs report in the spotlight

Week ahead A busy week will be highlighted by the June employment report, releasedfollowing a mid-week break for the July 4th holiday. Also on deck areboth ISMs, JOLTS job openings, and the minutes from the June FOMC,

What is needed for Japanese stocks to regain momentum?

Japanese stocks saw strong gains in 1Q, but their performance has been lacklusterin 2Q. As numerous positive developments had been priced in during 1Q, there hasbeen a lack of new catalysts to lift share prices in 2Q. In addition, forex volatility,

Supply and Cash Flow Monitors

 EUR22.5bn gross supply and EUR0.9bn net supply on the back of bigBTP redemptions and Bunds coupons. On offer new 10Y Bund, Green Bunds tap, LT OAT, SPGB (new 7Y) /

The Yen’s Mysterious Weakness — A Search for Answers (Fishman/Kanter)

The strikingly close relationship between USD/JPY and real rate differentials overthe past few years has come into question in recent weeks. While there havebeen prior periods of dislocation, none have looked as persistent and prominent

CEE in focus: Limited spillovers from French elections so far

Weekly report highlighting our latest EM views, recent performance, currentvaluation, the latest model updates, and our forecasts across EM.Focus for the Week:

Seeking Certainty Amid Change

We expect a range-bound market in near term, as recent rallyhas largely priced in the positive developments since February.Despite positive policy pivots, we caution against persistentdeflation pressure and rising complexity from trade protection