海外研报

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): Q2’24 Earnings First Take

We expect the market to have a muted reaction to Alphabet’s Q2’24 earnings reportupon our first read/analysis of the results. In terms of upside, we would point to

key debates likely to be on trajectory of auto business and FSD/robotaxis

Tesla reported revenue/non-GAAP diluted EPS (excluding SBC) of$25.5 bn/$0.52, which was 4% above/$0.09 below the Street

India budget: closer to the medium-term fiscal target

The Indian government chose a middle path by distributing its non-tax revenue bonanza into revenue spending and fiscal deficit reduction. The

Europe Trembles At the Trump Tremor

The rising odds of a Trump victoryin November are weighing on theperformance of European equities.Investors fear a resumption of thetrade wars that dominated the frstTrump presidency.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST has recently revisited March low of 4.40% which remains an interim support. A brief rebound is taking shape, but it would be

RATES & FOREX RESEARCH FOR CORPORATES

US 2Q GDP on Thursday, June PCE inflation on Friday. Euro and UK preliminary PMIs on Wednesday, Canada second rate cut in the balance. Hungary CB SG f/c no change, consensus -25bp. Turkey CBRT f/c on hold.

Euro Area—Measuring Underlying Inflation (Vashkinskaya/Stott)

Underlying inflation in the Euro area remains in focus as one of the three criteriaused by the ECB’s Governing Council to set monetary policy. To analyse the

2Q24 First Take: Beat supported by overlifts and gas marketing

Equinor reported 2Q24 results this morning (July 24), with group operating incomeat US$7,483 mn, +8% above company-complied consensus of US$6,959mn, and

Beyond the Ballot: Existing in the Context…

President Biden’s decision not to seek reelection and the coalescing around Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee have upended the US election campaign.

SOFR trimming 

The Fed has announced plans to make some technical tweaksto the SOFR calculation. The resulting rate is little different,