海外研报

TIME TO TURN ATTENTION TO MANAGING THE FED BALANCE SHEET

The headline coming out of this week’s FOMC meeting will be the signal that funds ratecutting begins in September, with the usual caveats. Probably not reported but still very

Week 3: risks of overinvesting in AI overinvestors

Half-time report: 3% beat, guidance improves for large206 S&P 500 companies (46% of index EPS) have reported, beating consensus EPS by

G10 Consumer Dashboard: July 2024: Subdued Spending Despite Solid Fundamentals (Pierdomenico)

On the positive side, consumers continue to benefit from generally tight labormarkets in all economies. Since we last published the dashboard, the

Emerging Insight The Great Divides in USD/CNY

Key takeaways• As the focus on USD vs. CNY valuation and trade intensifies, we take a broader look at key macro charts.

Risk-reward still more favorable for cyclicals

Economics: The economy continues to defy its skepticsLast week, 2Q GDP surprised to the upside, signaling that even if the economy has slowed, it is still meeting its potential. This week, the focus will likely be on the Fed and

BofA Securities Equity Client Flow Trends Third week of equity selling

Institutional clients continue to sell equities• Single stock-led selling: Last week, during which the S&P 500 was -0.8%, BofA Securities clients were net sellers of US equities (-$3.3B) for the third straight

The message of a bond market

It is almost comical. Just as Wall Street and mainstream media became convinced that Donald Trump is the next US president, Joe Biden’s withdrawal and the sudden rush to gather around Vice President Kamala Harris

Maintaining our S&P 500 target of 5400, rotation is where the action is

Neutral on index, bullish on internalsOur market timing signals have downshifted from bullish to neutral. In mid 2023, sentiment was deeply negative and our toolkit suggested that the direction of economic

Euro Area: Q2 GDP Above Consensus But Germany Slows Down

BOTTOM LINE: According to Eurostat’s preliminary flash estimate, Euro area realGDP increased 0.3%qoq in Q2 2024, above consensus expectations for a 0.2%qoq

First Takes (CZR, MDLZ, SBUX), 4 Areas In Focus Today

QUICK TAKE:Likely to trade up on better than expected results in Las Vegas & Digital while Regionalsfell a bit short but not too far from where we heard recent buyside expectations, Positioning and sentimenthave been negative and expectations were low,