海外研报

July employment preview: Upside and downside risks aplenty

We estimate that nonfarm payroll employment increased 175k in July, slower than the206k increase in June. We think that private nonfarm payrolls will register a 150k gain, above

Catalysis analysis

Catalysts abound in the week ahead, between key economicdata, Fed/BoE/BoJ decisions, and the all-important (Tech)

China-Australia resources trade: transitioning

China’s structural transformation has begun. Its ‘new trio’ – electricvehicles (EV), lithium batteries and photovoltaic products – will likely

Research Unplugged: US Conviction List - Directors’ Cut: August Spotlight

In this podcast, we listen in as Kate McShane, Bonnie Herzog, George Tong, andNoah Poponak join Chris Hussey and Sarah Herr to discuss four of the ideas – Dollar

China data preview: a weak start to H2 2024

Slowing industrial production: The production subindexes of both official and Caixin manufacturing PMI slowed in July, signalling a

Which Is More Impressive, The 3Q Revenue Clip Or Zuck’s New 'Drip'?

META continues to execute at arguably the best pace of anycompany in digital advertising, with little revenue deceleration

Earnings Bars (AAPL, AMZN, DASH, INTC, MCHP, NET, SNAP), ARM, LRCX, META, QCOM

Sentiment: Still one of our more crowded shorts, but it’s seen substantial covering by equity L/S funds. In the wake of TXN (where embedded was weaker) and STM (MCU weaker) results – the latter of which feels more idiosyncratic

S&P Global PMI in Line With Expectations

BOTTOM LINE: The ISM manufacturing index declined in July, against consensusexpectations for a modest increase. The composition of the report was weak, as the

Powell has a labor market bee inhis bonnet

While the Fed left rates on hold today,both the FOMC statementand Powell's pressconference strongly hinted that the first cut is likely coming at the next meeting inSeptember, The statement shifted the Fed's worries from tilted toward

BANK OF ENGLAND TAKES A SMALL LEAP OF FAITH

The MPC has delivered a 25bp reduction that takes Bank Rate to 5% in what is essentially an “insurance” cut.As mentioned in the minutes, “it is now appropriate to reduce slightly the degree of policy restrictiveness" while