海外研报

Japan Equities and the Yen

Incoming economic data may drive a further unwinding of JPY carry trades/FXhedged activity from overseas equity investors. We retain a bullish JPY skew.

A slowing, not a slump: what we're watching

We expect a moderate slowdown, and the Fed cutting 25bps in September. But the burden of proof is on the soft landing. Last

US Weekly Prospects

Compared to last week’s event-filled calendar, the relatively quiet schedule this week gave time to pause and reflect on the

Global Data Watch

Recent discussion in these pages has focused on the shifting risk bias around our global narrative of sustained growth resilience, sticky inflation, and shallow

Flows & Liquidity Where have we seen most unwinding?

Momentum-driven investors such as CTAs saw a sharp unwind of long equity positions, short yen and short 10y Bund and JGB positions, while

The storm before the calm?

sectors had wow down moves of less than -2%. Moreover,Real Estate actually finished the week in positive territory.

Investor Allocations

Marginal decline in price momentum; fund inflows remain strongAmid a somewhat a dovish tone in the July FOMC meeting, which laid thegroundwork for possible rate cuts in September and beyond, globalequities (FTSE All World) ended the month

Global Rates ldeas EM & DM

We highlight opportunities for tactical flattening carry tradesin the US and Türkiye

Global bond flows compass

Weekly foreign outflows from local debt in Mexico, HungaryT¼rkiye, and South Africa; inflows into Korea, India, Thailan?and

GEMs Equity Wrap-up July 2024

In July 2024, EM equities underperformed all other major regional indices, though allwere in positive territory, india contributed most positively, distantly followed by SouthAfrica, but it was majory offset by the negative performance of Taiwan