海外研报

BofA What Seasonality

S&P 500 defies gravity in the seasonally weakest monthThe S&P 500 gained 2.1% on a total return basis, the best September since 2013 and

BofA Equity Vol Insights - Nervous Vol Still Underprices Election Week

Stressed vol still underprices rare election + FOMC weekUS equity vol has become notably stressed in recent days with geopolitical risks rising and the US election approaching. The VIX trades at a 14-point premium to S&P realized

GS--Aerospace & Defense_ 3Q24 earnings preview

Our 3Q24 A&D earnings preview provides our current thoughts on each sub-marketand single stock ideas into the results period. Aerospace OE is challenged by the

FX--About the relationship between oil prices, inflation and rate expectations

About the relationship between oil prices, inflation and interest rate expectations //New Zealand central bank is stepping up the pace // PLN, CZK, HUF: Signs ofrecovery // Not much new from the Mexican inflation data?

GD--US ELECTION: MEXICO - BEYOND US ELECTION BLUES, USMCA CLOUDS LOOM

◼ No matter Trump or Harris, USMCA uncertainty + a post-AMLO hangover will weigh on Mexico’s sluggish GDP ahead of the mid-2026 USMCA review◼ Three overlapping hot-button issues – the border, China and trade – will dominate

GD--COMMODITIES: IS THE AUTUMN RALLY ‘REAL’?

Shifting macro currents have lifted the mood for commodities, removing the excess pessimism that built over the summer and reviving hopes for a pickup in global demand.