海外研报

Critical stress exits ‘Risk off’, proving yet another contrarian buy signal

CSS proves again to be a contrarian buy-signalAs we suspected on 5-Aug-24 (see our CSS Risk off report), the CSS remains a

A Fed put doesn’t always mean a USD put

The coming days will see the release of the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, US core PCE data, as well as Nvidia Corporation’s earnings. So investors are

HOW LOW IS LOW ENOUGH FOR THE FUNDS RATE?

After scuffling around the starting gate of the rate-cut betting race for more than year, market participants finally heard the bell go off on Friday and know the race is on. There are three tiers

POWELL CONFIRMS THE EASING CYCLE HAS BEGUN

The economy is not now in recession, but when recession is not an option and inflation is low enough with the funds rate 250BP > inflation, employment must become the policy focus. The F