海外研报

SocGen - FX View - Is the Fed a hare or a tortoise

 Will Bill Dudley be on Jay Powell’s Christmas card list this year? Mr Dudley’s piece for Bloomberg, arguing for a 50bp rate cut tomorrow, has helped tilt the market a little further in

SocGen - China Economic Update - Slipping into a downward spiral

Domestic activity data deteriorated more than market expectations in August again. With the data in hand, 3Q GDP growth is tracking at

Rabo 2,750 beeps

The market is waiting for the Fed to cut rates today for the first time in years: the economistBloomberg survey expects 25bps; markets are split between pricing 25bps and 50bps, with the

PM_US18Sep24

duce the funds rate by 25bp today, followed by 50bp easings at the November and December meetings, as

PM_UK18Sep24

Last month, the Bank of England used GfK’s consumer confidence survey to justify rate-setters’ view

PM_LATAM18Sep24

Argentina’s inflation battle remains intense, as the latest data show consumer prices increased more than expected

PM_EZ18Sep24

Media reports suggest Rome thinks it will undershoot its deficit target this year, as revenues have come in

PM_EMASIA18Sep24

Indonesian export growth surprised comfortably to the upside in August, accelerating to a 19-month high of

PM_China+18Sep24

The PBoC views total social financing (TSF) growth as “reasonable”, considering it is above 8%

JPM_International Market Intell Morning Briefing_20240918

OVERNIGHT BRIEFEU/US trade: European Equities advanced after US retail sales (SXXP 0.4%, $X5E 0.7%) withCyclicals beating Defensives (0.8%, 1.1z). There was an element of short covering in the tapewith Most Short (2.3%, 2z) higher since the morning