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Q2 preview: bumpier path, same compelling destination
Blackwell transition could mute upside near-termMaintain Buy, top sector pick ahead of NVDA FQ2 (Jul) results due 28-Aug. Media reports
海外研报
2024年08月20日
US Labor Market: Cracks Beneath The Surface
The US unemployment rate has clocked in below 4.5% for 33 consecutive months. However, this historicallylow rate camouflages nascent cracks in the US labor market.
海外研报
2024年08月20日
The US Fiscal OutlookIs Unsightly,But A Debt Crisis Is Not Inevitable
Executive SummaryInvestors have observed that pandemic spending materially worsened the USfiscal outlook and are asking our US strategists about it in nearly every meeting
海外研报
2024年08月20日
On Crude's Tug-Of-War
Bottom Line: A continued softening of oil demand will eventually intensifybearish pressures and pull the floor from beneath oil prices. But we probably arenot there yet..
海外研报
2024年08月20日
USD: in the shadow of the Rockies
It was a tentative start to the week for risk sentiment. The rhetoric from the Fed remains mixed. While dovish FOMC voter Mary Daly expressed more confidence
海外研报
2024年08月20日
FAST FX Fair Value Model--USD looking undervalued
The FAST FX model continues to sit out the FX markets and remains up 2.50% over the past year with a hit rate of 50%. Heading into the Jackson
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Global Rates StrategyWeekly supply Preview
Global supply next week: Euro area, Us, UK, JP, AUS & NZNominal supply is scheduled in the Euro area (expect ~EUR4.5bn), US (USD16bn), UK(GBP3.75bn), Japan (JPY1.65tn),Australia (AUD1.5bn) and New Zealand
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Global Rates StrategySep/Dec Futures roll
Repo risk is meaningful for DecGiven the uncertain path of the Fed over the next few months, valuation of the Deccontracts will be sensitive to
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Is the VlX spike a signal of wider credit spreadsahead?
A key debate last week was whether equities were sending a signal for creditThe massive spikes in cross-asset volatility in early August (e.g., 2, 4, 5 sigma moves in1Oyr USTs, IPYUSD, and VlX) have left investors actively
海外研报
2024年08月20日
Us Equity StrategyEarnings Brief 2Q24: August 19
With 87.9% of the S&P 500's market cap reported, we will be transitioning to a weeklyEarnings Brief for the remainder of the season..
海外研报
2024年08月20日
