海外研报

Firm Industrial Production in May Driven by Construction and Utilities

Bottom Line: Industrial production expanded 0.7% mom sa in May, aboveconsensus for a milder expansion. The IP increase in May was driven by solid

The Fed’s increased room for manoeuvre

On the face of it, Friday’s US payroll data was not that dramatic. But it led to a moderate pickup in Federal Reserve easing expectations which were further increased by today’s lower-than-expected CPI inflation data.

GS Equity Radar

European markets traded some relief post the second round of French elections (seeAlex Stott’s post-election Q&A), with V2X c.8% lower vs. last Friday (at time ofwriting). In the US

Prefer US to China exposure

side, several large companies have reduced their guidancedue to weakness coming from China (L’Oreal lowered its

EM Weekly Fund Flows Monitor

The EM Asia region saw buying of US$1.7bn this week,led by A-shares (+US$2.2bn) and Korea (+US$1.4bn).

China commodity trade data: June 2024

China’s commodity imports were broadly higher despite the weak macroeconomic outlook. Restocking remained a feature amid energy security

China: June money and credit data below expectations

June’s money and credit data all came in below expectations. The total socialfinancing (TSF) flows fell notably from May to June, primarily on slowed government

30yr yields show muni investors’ bull market conviction

Market has entered an election mode and corrected an unwelcome May/June 2s10s Treasury flattening. Benign June CPI report added support to an ongoing bullish trend

JPY – thoughts on suspected MoF intervention

The Japanese government may have intervened in the FX market to shore up JPY again after the release of the US June CPI print on Jul 11 and possibly again in the Tokyo

IAM-751 Strike Sanction Vote Next Week

Boeing’s International Association of Machinists & Aerospace Workers (IAM) District 751will be holding their “Strike Sanction Vote” next week on July 17th. The IAM 751