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2Q Preview: Screening for Dislocations (SLB), Momentum (AR, CCJ), and Catalysts (WFRD)
Heading into 2Q24 and 2H24, we remain focused on stocking picking versusthematic exposures similar to so far this year, and see three key buckets of
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2024年07月12日
Another month of soft retail spending
Retail sales probably declined in JuneTotal card spending per household (HH), as measured by BAC aggregated credit and debit cards, was down 0.5% year-over-year (y/y) in June. Card spending per HH was
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2024年07月12日
Sticky inflation is coming unglued
The June CPI report was very benign. The headline figure fell 0.06% (expected up0.1%) and the core figure was up only 0.06% (expected up 0.2%). Within the corecomponent,the long-awaited slowing in both tenants’and owners’ equivalentrental inflation took
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2024年07月12日
What will the pound do, this summer?
On a quiet day for markets, the RBNZ announced a ‘dovish hold’ with rates staying at 5.5% while the central bank’s guidance implied that it is only a matter of time before they are cut. Read
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2024年07月12日
Top 25 Tactical Trades for Earnings Season
We believe 2024 will be remembered as the “Year of the Stock Picker”. Indexoptions and daily SPX volatility have been dampened by systematic volatility
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2024年07月12日
Investigating scope for Generative AI to drive upside for
Following the excitement around ChatGPT's launch and the proliferation of competitor Large Language Model (LLM)solutions, the commencement of what is likely to be large spend on infrastructure buildout (with tech giants and beyond
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2024年07月12日
Tracking Trucker Employment; TL Drivers Exit But More May Be Needed
Long haul trucking lost 1,200 drivers in May, below their pre-COVID seasonalsequential increase of ~2,600 drivers (we note that long haul data lags total
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2024年07月12日
USA | Equity Strategy
We updated our Manager Holdings for Long Only investors, and it hadimplications for a number of Hedge Fund portfolios. We updated Uber Crowded,
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2024年07月12日
American Themes
The market’s perception of Brazil’s fiscal outlook has worsened in recent months after the government proposed a diluted fiscal consolidation plan for 2025-2028 in its draft Budgetary Directives Law in mid-April.
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2024年07月12日
Getaways and giveaways
In June, total card spending per household was down 0.5% year-over-year, according to Bank of America internal data. Seasonally-adjusted total card spending dropped 0.1% month-over-month (MoM), but over the second quarter as a whole, total
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2024年07月12日
