海外研报

What’s Top of Mind in Macro Research: Trump’s rising presidential odds, Fed cuts may soon begin,

US election: Trump’s rising oddsThe likelihood of a Trump presidency has risen further in betting markets sinceSaturday’s shocking assassination attempt, and we maintain that such an election

Energy, Utilities & Mining Pulse: Investors Asking: Of the Stocks that Lagged in 1H,

What is a stock that was a 1H laggard, where we see the potential for thisto be a 2H leader — and why? Cheniere Energy (LNG) lagged 1H24 (+2% vs

Strengthening its Position as Industry Leader

TSM is the world’s leading semiconductor foundry company. The company provides wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production and design services.

European Morning Research Summary

This summary is compiled from research reports previously published by Barclays Equity Research. A full list of all publications is available on

Q2’24 Earnings Review: Solid Earnings Result Driven By Subscriber Momentum

Netflix reported a solid Q2 ’24 earnings report driven bybetter-than-expected subscriber growth (driven by strong contentslate & scaling of ad supported tier) with a more mixed picture on

Portfolio Hedging Toolkit (Jul-2024) Buy Semis ETF (SMH) puts

Semis stocks have rallied significantly since the start of 2023 (SMH +154%),mainly driven by AI-related optimism. Our semis analyst Toshiya Hari believes

Weekly sales down by 22% YoY; possible implications from the third plenum

Weekly home sales down by 22% YoYDuring the past week (July 6th to July 12th), primary home sales volume in 32 major cities saw 41% sequential drop (partially attributable to seasonality) and was also down

INTERNATIONAL MARKET INTELLIGENCE:MORNING BRIEFING

OVERNIGHT BRIEFUS/EU trade: European Equities closed lower (SXXP -0.5%, $X5E -1.2%, V2X +0.7pts) with AEX(-1.8%) and UKX (0.3%) the best and worst regions. Tech (-4.5%, -3.6z) fell mostly because ofSemis

Americas Energy: Oil: Majors & Refiners: Refreshing Select Estimates (PSX, CVI)

We update forecasts for Phillips 66 (PSX) and CVR Energy (CVI) to reflect mark tomarket commodity prices, refining crack spreads for the quarter and slightly revised

China: FX outflows accelerated in June

Our preferred FX flow measure shows larger FX outflows of US$69bn in June 2024,vs. US$32bn outflows in May. The current account channel showed faster outflows