海外研报
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2024 US Elections – An Early Guide
With Election Day 334 days away, it's likely much will change re: the drivers of the outcome & their market impact.
海外研报
2024年07月29日
New Candidate, Same Implications
To project the impact of elections on the markets, we typically frame scenarios. But we could never have dreamed up the truly wild month we just went
海外研报
2024年07月29日
A bumpy road into the unknown, an elegy
The unprecedented developments surrounding the US general elections have dominated the headlines as the outcome will largely define the US economic, fiscal and
海外研报
2024年07月29日
A few keypieces from GS Sales, Trading, Strategy and Research. Full piece links below or attached.
Waiting to re-engage in USDJPY longs (Mike Cahill) - While we think USD/JPY can probably continue to move back to the 150 level and would
海外研报
2024年07月29日
BoJ seen forgoing July rate hike to ensure trouble-free start to QT
We expect the BoJ will leave its guidance target for the uncollateralized overnight call rate on hold at “around 0% to 0.1%” at the July 30-31 Policy Board meeting,
海外研报
2024年07月29日
FOMC preview
The June FOMC meeting statement described activity as expanding at a “solidpace," job gains “'strong," and unemployment “low." We don't see any of thatchanging. Since the June meeting the unemployment rate has risen another tick to4.1%, in line
海外研报
2024年07月29日
FX Model Trend & Strategy
This publication was prepared by Bank J Safra Sarasin (BJSS) Trading department. The views or ideas expressed herein are those of the
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Still See a Soft Landing
We believe that fears of a hard landing remain overdone. Two weeks ago, Ellen wrote that we continue to see data consistent with a soft landing. This week’s data brought
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Next week...this week
The week ahead is centered around key central bank decisions from the Fed, theBoJ and the BoE.All eyes will be on the Fed on Wednesday given the recent inflation progress in theUS.OurUS economists expect the central
海外研报
2024年07月29日
China: Industrial profits rose sequentially in June
China’s industrial profits and revenue rose by 3.9% yoy and 2.9% yoy, respectively,in June, from +0.5% yoy and +4.1% yoy in May. In sequential terms, industrial
海外研报
2024年07月29日
