海外研报

Baby Pool Closed for “Maintenance”

Anyone who ever got that notice from a town or community pool knows exactly what happened. It feels like some of that has gone on in our markets of late, ensuring that this is an “adult swim.” For

Weekly Warm-up: Does The Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome?

Does the Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome? Like in 2016-2017, we are more focused on the cadence of the business cycle than on the

July FOMC: one last hold?

The Fed is poised to stand on the sidelines for one more meeting at the July FOMC, as we expect the target range for the Federal funds rate to remain unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. This would mark a full year, or eight

Key week ahead of FX markets

FX View: The low in USD/JPY yesterday brought the drop from the high on 3rd July to ten big figures and in our view could well be a sign of a turning point in USD/JPY.

Europe Weekly Focus

The BoE remains deeply divided over the persistence of inflationary pressures. Various comments at the last meeting seemed to open the door to

Still See a Soft Landing

We believe that fears of a hard landing remain overdone. Two weeks ago, Ellen wrote that we continue to see data consistent with a soft landing. This week’s data brought more evidence

Shifting HK IG to Neutral; Now Prefer Malaysia A Corp

Another week that saw spreads move within a narrowrange.

Weak momentum persisted in North Asian markets amid significant foreign outflows

MXAPJ lost 1.9%, dragged down by Taiwan, Korea, Chinaand Hong Kong (down 2-4%), while India (+2%) and

Not everyone gets a medal

Amid an equity sell-off, US economic data may show soft spotsbut remain solid overall. Meanwhile, signals out of Europe and