海外研报

Bank of Korea: preparing for a Q4 pivot

The Bank of Korea’s (BoK) decision to keep its policy rate unchanged at 3.50% was unanimous, but its forward guidance has turned incrementally more dovish as anticipated.

Germany CAI Continues to Underperform Rest of Europe in June

Please find an update of our proprietary global economic indicators below. The databehind these exhibits can be downloaded here. Interactive charts can be found onour living page here.

Slow Boat from China Implications of Soaring Shipping Costs

At the southern tip of Africa, the warm water from the Indian Ocean meets the cool current coming up from the Antarctic, resulting in stormy weather. When first

Asia-Pacific Portfolio Strategy: Asian equity market daily update

The MXAPJ Index rose 1.3% today. Hong Kong and Taiwan markets outperformed,while India and Singapore markets underperformed. Within MXAPJ sectors, Info

Emerging Markets Asia: June 2024

Asia ex-China’s net portfolio inflows rose to USD10.9bn in June 2024 from USD7.5bn in May. Lower inflation numbers in the US kept the hope of Fed

US CPI in focus, while BOK, BNM to stand pat

With the Fed staying patient with its restrictive monetary policy stance, the mortgage rate in the US – currently fixed at 7% for a 30y tenor - is set to remain high for quite

Buy France

The sharp underperformance of the French stock market on its recent political events is irrational, given the CAC 40’s limited exposure to French domestic economics and politics.

European Morning Credit Today in European Credit

Bank of Ireland (BKIR): Fitch revised the outlook on Bank of Ireland to positive from stable, affirming the holdco’s rating at BBB+ (A3(+)/BBB elsewhere). The agency sees a

June US CPI Inflation preview: Further progress

CPI to increase Fed’s confidence on disinflationWe expect the June CPI report to be another confidence builder following the undeniably good May report. We forecast headline CPI rose by 0.1% m/m (0.11% unrounded) owing