海外研报

Israel: Large Downside Surprise to Growth in Q2

Bottom Line: Israel’s GDP growth fell from +17.3%qoq annl. to +1.2%qoq annl.(both seasonally adjusted), which was significantly below consensus expectations

Assessing the risks around our 2025 S&P 500 EPS estimates after a strong 2Q 2024 earnings season

The macro backdrop has distracted many investors from fully appreciating the strength of the 2Q earnings season. 56% of S&P 500 firms beat

US Week Ahead: August 19 - August 25

The key economic data releases this week are the jobless claims and existing homesales reports on Thursday. The minutes from the July FOMC meeting will be

US Daily: Renewed Progress on Recession Risk (Hatzius)

After the July jobs report released on August 2 triggered the “Sahm rule,” weraised our 12-month US recession probability from 15% to 25%. Now, we have