海外研报

Global Economics Wrap-Up: August 2, 2024

Former US President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs are likely to accelerateshifts in the allocation of global trade:o We use product-level variation in tariff rates and trade patterns to estimate

Quicker labour market cooling could mean more aggressive Fed

A much quieter calendar lies ahead for the coming week, highlighted by ISM services and the Fed’s senior loan officer opinion survey (SLOOS).

US/Europe Monthly ETF Flow Tracker

Flows into US-listed ETFs accelerated sharply in July to +$89.2bn (vs. $41.9bnin June). Among the broad categories we track, Broad-Based Index Equity ETFs

weighed down by continued weakness in North Asian markets & Global Cyclicals

MXAPJ lost 0.8%, dragged down by Philippines, Taiwan andKorea (-2% each), while Thailand, Australia, and Indonesia

Change in Fed call: Three 25bp cuts this year

With this morning's weaker-than-expected labor market report,we now expect the FOMC to cut rates by 25bp three times this

Daily and weekly indicators for the US economy

Torsten Slok joined Apollo in August 2020 as Chief Economist and he leads Apollo's