海外研报

A major rotation is underway in global equities

The surprisingly soft US June CPI print has triggered a price surge in highly-levered and beaten-up global small-cap stocks relative to their large-cap counterparts. In our view, this

Weekend Cross-asset Dislocations (28-Jul-2024)

The July short squeeze has been painful, but the short-squeeze should be short-lived

US Elections & the MexicoChina Bridge vs. Buffer Debate

Chinese investment is a risk to Mexico's nearshoring narrative, not a means to achieve it. Mexico is acting as a China Buffer fending off Asian imports

GS Crypto: Distracted market reaction to US spot ETH ETFs trading debut

Bank of Japan (BOJ) intervention following a softer US CPI on 11th July, was the first time the government was selling into USD weakness (typically the BOJ have

refer to the views and observations of the desk.

Positioning + Flows .. not much reprieve last week during what has been one of the more dynamic momentum / positioning drawdowns we’ve

Fed set to hold again in July, but inching closer to cuts

A huge week lies ahead, with the July FOMC meeting on Wednesday followed in quick succession by the July employment report on Friday.

Navigating a Noisy Election

Prepare for more noise than signal. Uncertainty is high for election results & the macro impacts of key policy choices. We see value in key equity sectors, a skew toward USD &

US growth pick-up but dimmer Europe outlook

US election: Harris steps in, but Trump still more likelyWhile the prediction market-implied odds of Democrats winning the White House

US Weekly Prospects

Fed on track for September easeAgainst this backdrop, the FOMC meets next week, Despite afew high-profile calls for the Fed to start cutting next week,that does not appear to be in the cards. Rather, we look foreasing

Global Rates Trader Growth Gains the Upper Hand

Recent moves in the front-end of G10 curves reflect a return to growth as the keyfocus for markets. The earlier part of the year was about inflation progress (or thelack thereof),