海外研报

Weekly spending update through July 27

Key takeaways• Total card spending per HH was up 0.1% y/y in the week ending Jul 27, according to BAC aggregated credit & debit card data.

US Daily: July Payrolls Preview (Walker/Rindels)

We estimate nonfarm payrolls rose by 165k in July, below consensus of +175kand the three-month average of +177k. We estimate private payrolls increased

How effective is currency hedging usingforwards?

One of the many complexities in currency risk management arises from effectivelymanaging risk of a portfolio exposed to continuous currency exposure. This isimportant for both corporations and asset managers alike. For corporations, thisform

EURO CRISIS 2.0 – THE “CRISIS” AT THE CORE

There is talk of a new euro crisis, this time centred on core EMU countries like Germany and France. This fear is unwarranted. While low interest rates stimulated the EMU core during the

Hong Kong: Retail sales rose in June

On a month-over-month basis (seasonally adjusted), Hong Kong retail salesincreased in June (+1.7% in value terms, +1.4% in volume terms). Sales value rose

Situation Room July FOMC: Yes man

The biggest takeaway from the July FOMC was that chair Powell largely agreed with market pricing for a September cut (Exhibit 1), assuming no big surprises on inflation.

On Our Minds - Taiwan Still thriving in the AI boom

Taiwan’s economy has remained resilient thanks to the AI boom. 2Q GDP growth was stagnant – but this followed strong expansion in recent quarters. The AI boom has

Japan: government expects BoJ to create steep curve, not rate hikes

The government has clearly indicated that it intends to “shift corporations from excess savings to excess investment, and completely

ROIC on Capex Showing Through in Engagement, Revenue and Longer-Term Call

META remains the best case study of how GPU-enabled analyses of leading first party data sets can drive material

USA: Initial Jobless Claims Above Expectations; Productivity Growth Stronger Than Expected

BOTTOM LINE: Initial jobless claims increased more than expected in the weekended July 27. The increase was led by a jump in filings in Michigan, which we