海外研报

G7 and BIC outlook

Although the labor market has cooled substantially, there is not enough evidence of recession in the near-term.

CHF: more reversal in sight?

Asia overnight Investors are making a cautious start to the week. While investor sentiment continues to gradually recover following last week’s drubbing, key US retail sales

Weekly Warm-up: Valuations Matter and Defensive Quality Is Still the Best Option

Markets are looking for better growth or more policy support to get excited again. We don't see confirming evidence in either

The Weekly Worldview: Rising Central Bank Action

If life were a Greek tragedy, we would call it foreshadowing. In reality, it was an unfortunate coincidence. The BoJ’s website temporarily went down when the policy

Cheatsheet - G10 & EM Week Ahead: Half and half

US core CPI should, in part, comfort Fed officials but, in other, keep them squarely focused on labor and economic trends. US retail

US MARKET INTELLIGENCE:AFTERNOON BRIEFING

SPX +1.7%, NDX +2.5%,RTY +1.6%.WTl -200bps at $78.46, NatGas -114bps to $2.16, UKNatGas -82bps to 0.9594, Gold -26bps to$2,466, Silver -45bps to $27.85, 10Y @ 3.847%, andVIX @ 18.12.

Investor Sentiment: Risk-Love A binary call

Global Risk-Love resets to neutralGlobal Risk-Love, our contrarian sentiment indicator for equities, has plummeted from

Europe Non Research Other

Not that much to add to yesterday's piece really, enough to make things murky for markets going forward (recession riskiniddleEastUkraine incursion'US politics) that after the huge deleveraging episode post payrols daspite the swift

Total recall 2Q:24 – Core strength drives OEMs; Supplier outlooks disappointing

Pricing remains solid but production outlook down YoY2Q:24 showed a change of pace for the automotive industry. Global production is now

Risk-reward for equities to stay mixed through summer, but Japan not to underperform further

We remain concerned about the backdrop for stocks, there could be further bouts of weakness as we progress through summer. Activity is weakening,