海外研报

apan: rise in Nikkei due more to power of reflation than economic quality improvement

The ESG Macro Index, which represents the quality of the Japanese economy, improved to 0.81 in Q124 from 0.66 in Q423. The deteriorating

On Our Minds A pragmatic budget, but could have been bolder

The new government’s first full budget was pragmatic, but it could have been bolder. When one looks at it as a pure accounting exercise, which it actually is, the budget neither

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL): Q2’24 Earnings First Take

We expect the market to have a muted reaction to Alphabet’s Q2’24 earnings reportupon our first read/analysis of the results. In terms of upside, we would point to

key debates likely to be on trajectory of auto business and FSD/robotaxis

Tesla reported revenue/non-GAAP diluted EPS (excluding SBC) of$25.5 bn/$0.52, which was 4% above/$0.09 below the Street

India budget: closer to the medium-term fiscal target

The Indian government chose a middle path by distributing its non-tax revenue bonanza into revenue spending and fiscal deficit reduction. The

Europe Trembles At the Trump Tremor

The rising odds of a Trump victoryin November are weighing on theperformance of European equities.Investors fear a resumption of thetrade wars that dominated the frstTrump presidency.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST has recently revisited March low of 4.40% which remains an interim support. A brief rebound is taking shape, but it would be

RATES & FOREX RESEARCH FOR CORPORATES

US 2Q GDP on Thursday, June PCE inflation on Friday. Euro and UK preliminary PMIs on Wednesday, Canada second rate cut in the balance. Hungary CB SG f/c no change, consensus -25bp. Turkey CBRT f/c on hold.

Euro Area—Measuring Underlying Inflation (Vashkinskaya/Stott)

Underlying inflation in the Euro area remains in focus as one of the three criteriaused by the ECB’s Governing Council to set monetary policy. To analyse the

2Q24 First Take: Beat supported by overlifts and gas marketing

Equinor reported 2Q24 results this morning (July 24), with group operating incomeat US$7,483 mn, +8% above company-complied consensus of US$6,959mn, and