海外研报

June payrolls preview: The job market continues to hum along

Cooling but not coolWe forecast nonfarm payrolls rose by a solid 200k in June, a 72k decline from the 272k

When politics trump data

Market HighlightsMarkets seems to be increasingly pricing in the prospects of a Trump Presidency after

2024Q2: Hardware Investment Grows, Barriers to Profitable Use Remain (Kodnani)

AI-related investment growth remains strong, particularly for semiconductorfirms, where equity markets expect revenue growth of around 50% from currentlevels by the end of 2025. Since the release of ChatGPT, equity markets have

Global equities gained 0.1%; Japan outperformed

Macro data this weekUS: The ISM manufacturing index on Monday, the JOLTS jobopenings report on Tuesday, and the employment report on

The W&W Indicator falls to marginally bullish in Jun

Indicator falls to the “marginally bullish” zone in JunThe monthly and weekly average of BofA China A-share Wax & Wane Indicator in Jun

2H keeps winning after a positive 1H

SPX is stronger in 2H after a positive 1HThe S&P 500 (SPX) rallied 14.48% in the first half (1H) of 2024, which is the 16th best 1H return for all years going back to 1928. When the SPX rallies over the first six months