海外研报

GS DOT budget tracker points to slowing state infrastructure spending plans in 2026+

As part of our GS US Infrastructure toolkit, we conducted our annual update ofall 50 US state transportation budgets, which revealed:

Liquid Insight G10 growth convergence and FX

Key takeaways• Q4-to-Q4 consensus GDP forecasts see US growth converging lower to G10. USD has +55% corr to US-World growth diff since 1974.

Asia Open - Mind the unwind, from USDJPY to US stocks

Consensus trades took a hit Wednesday, as seen by the sell-off in USDJPY (-1.3%) and Nasdaq (-2.5%). A combination of

Nomura Quant Insights

Risk of a downside attack on the Nikkei 225 by systematic investorsSemiconductor stocks worldwide took a beating yesterday. It looks as though worries over

Outlook for BoJ's "detailed plan" and likelihood of July rate hike

On July 9-10, the Bank of Japan held meetings of the Bond Market Group to gather market opinions on its "detailed plan" for reducing bond purchases, set to be

The rotation has yet to reach CCCs

Cuts are unlikely to flatten IG curvesn USD IG spread curves have remained remarkably stable this year.n A transitory downstream flow effect of Fed cuts on front-end spreads is possible

Half-time calm

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Argentina: Impressive disinflation, with side-effects

Argentina: Impressive disinflation with side-effectsArgentina inflation is dropping much faster than expected, from 25% in December (13%

Charting the course to higher Gross Margins; Raise PT to NT$1200

We believe that TSMC is now firmly on course to improving GMs in the next few years, with GMs troughing out at 53% in the most recent downcycle and plenty of

Cross Asset Strategy Spotlight on Inflation

The strong rally in markets during November and December 2023 was attributable to the emergence of the immaculate disinflation thesis. This