海外研报

Global Economics Wrap-Up: July 19, 2024

The case for Fed rate cuts strengthens as elections loom: o US economic data softened further in June: § Trimmed-mean PCE inflation has returned to 2% on a 3-month

How AI matters for Korea macro? — Nearterm gains amid long game

This week in focusTop policy makers in China concluded the widely-watched Third Plenum this week, with the policy readout highlighting both long term structural reforms and short term

DBS Stock Equity Picks

18 Jul - Singapore Telecom: Remove from Blue Chips at SGD3.02 We lock in gains for the stock as we see limited upside following the stellar run-up over the past 1-2

Australian Macro Weekly

We noted last week that the ‘soft’ data in Australia – indicators like business conditions and consumer confidence – remained soft. The most recent update

Global Economic Weekly Bridging the gaps

Global Letter: Bridging the gapsWith markets now pricing more than two Fed cuts this year, and while acknowledging

Global Credit Trader The rotation has yet to reach CCCs

Cuts are unlikely to flatten IG curvesn USD IG spread curves have remained remarkably stable this year.

China Online Travel Sector

China online travel sector to grow 15-18% in the next 2 years, driven by sharp outbound growth amidst slower domestic growth

Japan Weekly Kickstart Could sentiment finally be shifting on Japan SMID?

The strong performance of the Russell 2000 index so far thismonth (+8% since 9 July) appears to have re-focused some

The Flow Show 100% + 75% = peak 68%

Scores on the Doors: crypto 36.2%, gold 17.6%, oil 14.6%, stocks 13.8%, commodities 7.4%, HY bonds 4.5%, cash 2.9%, US dollar 2.8%, IG bonds 1.3%, govt bonds -3.0% YTD.

USD long-term fair value falters in Q124

The USD saw its long-term fair value fall somewhat across the board in Q124. The drop came on the back of the continuing loss of its real rate &