海外研报

Global Macro Watch Known Unknowns 21 – 26 July

Full focus on US 2Q GDP and PCEWe expect the advance estimate of 2Q GDP to come in at 2.3% qoq saar on the back of

Precious Analyst China’s Structurally Resilient Gold Demand

The gold price set a new all-time high of $2,483/toz on Wednesday (July 17) asexpected Fed cuts are poised to bring Western capital back into the gold market.

The Macro Blog - Yen -A better Bank of Japan timing?

Last week's intraday price action in the USD/JPY suggests that the Bank of Japan may have intervened in the FX market onceagain to counteract yen weakness. While it is too early to determine the ultimate impact, the current market conditions

Interest Rates Daily

Summer season means more time to dig into our methodology and hone our tools. With 2026 now on the monetary policy horizon (around 18 months from now), we

High Frequency Monitor Temporary glitch

Semis weighed on equity returns last weekThe MSCI AC World Index fell -2.1% last week as the Semiconductor sector (-9.1%) weighed on returns in all regions. Despite the pullback, this global Semis sector has still

US Elections & the MexicoChina Bridge vs. Buffer Debate

Key TakeawaysChinese investment is a risk to Mexico's nearshoring narrative, not a means to achieve it. Mexico is acting as a China Buffer fending off Asian imports ~75%

Key levels to watch: 4% rates & 50 on PMI

Economics: A goldilocks economyLast week, retail sales and industrial production surprised to the upside, dispelling fears

Global equities lost 2.1%; Momentum sold-off

Implications of trade policy for global marketsPrediction markets are now assigning a high probability

Global Macro Watch Known Unknowns 21 – 26 July

Full focus on US 2Q GDP and PCEWe expect the advance estimate of 2Q GDP to come in at 2.3% qoq saar on the back of a strong consumer, with risks to the downside. Meanwhile, personal income and

June JSDA Trading Volume of Over-the-Counter Bonds

CLEAR SIGNS OF BEARISHNESS ON SUPER-LONG JGBSJSDA Trading Volume of Over-the-Counter Bonds data for June were indicative of most