海外研报
筛选
US growth pick-up but dimmer Europe outlook
US election: Harris steps in, but Trump still more likelyWhile the prediction market-implied odds of Democrats winning the White House
海外研报
2024年07月29日
US Weekly Prospects
Fed on track for September easeAgainst this backdrop, the FOMC meets next week, Despite afew high-profile calls for the Fed to start cutting next week,that does not appear to be in the cards. Rather, we look foreasing
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Global Rates Trader Growth Gains the Upper Hand
Recent moves in the front-end of G10 curves reflect a return to growth as the keyfocus for markets. The earlier part of the year was about inflation progress (or thelack thereof),
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Baby Pool Closed for “Maintenance”
Anyone who ever got that notice from a town or community pool knows exactly what happened. It feels like some of that has gone on in our markets of late, ensuring that this is an “adult swim.” For
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Weekly Warm-up: Does The Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome?
Does the Cycle Matter More Than The Election Outcome? Like in 2016-2017, we are more focused on the cadence of the business cycle than on the
海外研报
2024年07月29日
July FOMC: one last hold?
The Fed is poised to stand on the sidelines for one more meeting at the July FOMC, as we expect the target range for the Federal funds rate to remain unchanged at 5.25-5.50%. This would mark a full year, or eight
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Key week ahead of FX markets
FX View: The low in USD/JPY yesterday brought the drop from the high on 3rd July to ten big figures and in our view could well be a sign of a turning point in USD/JPY.
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Europe Weekly Focus
The BoE remains deeply divided over the persistence of inflationary pressures. Various comments at the last meeting seemed to open the door to
海外研报
2024年07月29日
Still See a Soft Landing
We believe that fears of a hard landing remain overdone. Two weeks ago, Ellen wrote that we continue to see data consistent with a soft landing. This week’s data brought more evidence
海外研报
2024年07月29日
