海外研报
筛选
BoJ: why this time is different
We calculate z-scores (using 1990-2019 as our sample) for four key measures ofunderlying inflation: (1) Shunto (wages), (2) core-core CPl adjusted for changes inconsumption taxes, and (3-4) price expectations series from surveys that haveproved to
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Global Fixed incomeWeekly
Similarly to USD, front-end HICPxT pricing is broadly in line with our economistsforecasts on the 1y with some slight upside over the coming months. 10y HICPcurrentlytrades slightly cheap compared to our macro model (~10bps). The 5s10sHlCP curve
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Tactical Derivatives Strategy
Strategy: We recommend bearish investors overlay their positions with aHSY Aug 30th $185/$175 strike 1x2 Put Spread, indicatively paying 0.8%option premiumvs $193.53 ref price, heading into F2Q'24 carnings(confirmed for August 1). Short
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Sharp Pullback But Not There Yet
Equitypositioningisdown butnotlow, Even afterthe sharp drop this weekoverall equitypositioning is still well above average. it is also slightlyabovelevels implied byQ2 earnings growth which looks to be tracking just above10%so farthisseason, leavingroom
海外研报
2024年07月30日
US Pulse: Fed may open the door to a rate cut
At the July FOMC meeting we anticipate the committee will acknowledge the recent improvement in inflation and open the door to rate cuts if recent trends
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Regional Industry Focus ASEAN Healthcare
Thailand's fast and furious medical tourism vs. mature growth in Singapore. Singapore and Thailand have become
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Weekly commentary
We see recent market volatility tied to near-term sentiment shifts rather than corporate earnings and macro data. We prefer to look through these air pockets.
海外研报
2024年07月30日
China’s Third Plenum provides little support to metals
Last week’s key Communist Party meeting failed to lay out morepolicies to prop up demand for metals and we expect copper and
海外研报
2024年07月30日
The Long-term StrategistAre annuities a good retirement investment?
We diseussed last month how the move from defined-benefit to defined-contribution pension saving shifted market and longevity risk to workers,who have become quite coneerned they may outlive their savings.But not all is lost as workers can buy lifetime
海外研报
2024年07月30日
Yanlord Land Group Ltd
Yanlord Land Group Ltd (Yanlord) is a real estate development company focusing on high-end andluxury residential developments. The company has recently started to move towards nearby Tier 3
海外研报
2024年07月30日
