海外研报

Tech Positioning, Tech Calls, Networking Previews (COHR, FN, LITE), FTNT, WBD, Quanta

My colleague Jack Atherton, who covers Comm, Internet, Media and Sofware, is on New Parent Leave untilLabor Day, !'l be backing him up - including sending this combined TMT morning daily, and providing hisearnings first-takes in the weeks to

The Risk Of An Inflation Surprise

Investors are so certain that the Federal Reserve is all set to make aggressive cuts in interest rates, that if July’s CPI release this Wednesday comes in higher

Multi-Asset Strategy Daily

The first hurdle for UK markets – the labour market report – came in this morning. Wage data were in line, with weekly earnings excl. bonus rising 5.4% on a 3M/YoY basis. This seems like good news, as wages are

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

2y UST experienced a steep down move after break below multi-month ascending trend line and recently revisited May 2023 low of

Global Rates Trader Risk Relaxation

Last week’s labor market surprise gave way to broader market tremors as the weekbegan, but relatively benign data out of the US appears to have helped calm rates

poast Hoc Ergo Propter Hoc

Stocks struggled for direction yesterday as markets looked ahead to a packed data calendar for the rest of the week. The S&P500 closed flat, the NASDAQ rose 0.21% and the EuroStoxx 50

SALES COMMENTARY ONLY (NOT A PRODUCT OF RESEARCH)

What a week – not only in markets but also in sports. With the Summer Olympics set to conclude on Sunday, it’s been nothing short of

What Determines Cross-Country Differences in r*? (Daly)

The neutral real rate (r*) – the equilibrium real policy rate that is neitherstimulatory nor contractionary, consistent with output at potential and stable

Gaze Into the Data Long Enough...

Friday saw equities continue their recovery from steep selloffs early last week and the preceding Friday. The S&P500 and the NASDAQ both rose by around half a percentage point and the

Oil Tracker: Positioning: Only Up From Here

The Brent crude price rebounded by 6% from a week ago as broader macro marketscontinued to recover, as solid US activity data shifted energy investors’ focus from